2024 Presidential Election: What Are the Odds of Each Candidate?

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The US elections are approaching fast, and there’s much to unpack. Republicans and Democrats are rallying behind their candidates. Each candidate is now trying to convince those who are still on the fence.

At the moment, polls show that the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, is the favorite in the race. However, this election is still “in play” until November, and the 2024 presidential election odds could still evolve. Here’s a breakdown of the current state of the election and each candidate’s chances.

The Six Purple States Importance

In the US system, Democrats are usually denominated by the blue color, and Republicans are associated with red. Every state is assigned a color during polls based on their voting history. For instance, California is considered one of the big three Democratic strongholds, so it’s an essential blue state.

Yet, there’s a third type of state, commonly referred to as a purple state. These states are known to be very decisive in the run for president because they can sway one way or the other unexpectedly. During Biden’s previous run, he was elected thanks to these six decisive states, which are: Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Polls in these states currently give Trump the advantage, with Michigan behind the most undecided state and only giving the Republican candidate a 1.3-point lead. Still, these are just indicators of a trend, and the actual vote could be very different.

Two Polarizing Candidates

In the first phases of the election, many people ran for the presidency, including independent candidates. The initial selection of candidates had serious contenders, and “so weird it’s funny” candidates, such as the now “over-memed” Brent Peterson, hailed on TikTok with videos featuring the iconic Bonnie Tyler song, “Holding Out for a Hero.”

The Democrats are still running with Biden despite a period of doubt, and the Republicans have Donald Trump in the final race, both of whom are polarizing figures for different reasons.

Joe Biden

Joe Biden is the current President of the United States and is running for his second mandate. However, during his first mandate, 81-year-old Biden started showing signs of aging. His speeches make national and international news every time, with comments about his ability to speak clearly and use his memory.

This is a fundamental matter for the US, and his ability to run the country has been questioned several times. Ex-President Obama has talked about how Biden should maybe drop out, and his family also talks about an “exit plan." In the eventuality of Biden quitting, the Democrats are likely to support Kamala Harris’ candidacy. This event is becoming more likely after his debate against Trump and other speeches the current president couldn’t exactly carry out as intended.

His program for the 2024 run seems to focus heavily on fixing the immigration system. The goal is to fight back against numerous problems plaguing the southern border, like fentanyl illegal imports and human trafficking, and make the asylum procedure easier to “keep American families together.”

Donald Trump

Donald Trump has always been a controversial character, even back when he was only a businessman. He first entered the White House in 2017 by beating Hillary Clinton. His provocative tone and hot takes made him very popular with a large part of the population. However, he lost to Biden during the 2020 elections.

The Republican candidate is known for his constant delivery of one-liners made to startle. It works to shock opponents and rally supporters. However, he’s been recently charged and convicted of 34 felonies, and the recent assassination attempt is making a lot of noise. His divisive positions make headlines for better or for worse, but it also gives him the favor in most published polls so far.

His program is all about undoing everything Biden did during his mandate. He plans to reinforce border security, change the school system, and introduce a new approach to foreign conflicts in which the US is involved. However, Trump is known to target the emotional responses of his audience, and what he will actually do can’t be predicted.

Trump is favored in polls, but it’s not a done deal.

Recent events have given Donald Trump an advantage in the polls. He was already favored, but the recent attempt on his life has rallied even more people to his cause, regardless of his program. Still, it’s not a done deal, and like in any election, things can change rapidly until November.

There’s the possibility that Biden will step down and be replaced by current VP Kamala Harris, which could redefine the odds of the race. If this happens, then Trump could encounter more resistance in his run toward the White House.

Until November 5, the two candidates are still scouring the country, trying to rally as many voters as they can. Only time can tell which one will take over the much-desired seat of “leader of the free world.”

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